US

Occupational Licensing for Economists

Restricting eligibility for senior government economic-policy posts by requiring a graduate degree in economics would reduce the chances for good public policy outcomes.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
a degree in economics is a necessary not sufficient condition for public policy advice in economc is
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Disagree
3
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
On average, economists understand economics better than non-economists. But some of the best policy entrepreneurs come from outside the fold
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Banerjee
Abhijit Banerjee
MIT
Uncertain
6
Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Brunnermeier
Markus Brunnermeier
Princeton
Uncertain
7
Bio/Vote History
Restrictions reduce flexibility. Having a Ph.D. is a big plus in general, but there might be exceptional candidates without too.
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
On net, it seems good practice for government economic advisers to have PhD -level training. But a mandate seems like overkill.
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
I do not think one needs an econ Ph.D. to be a senior economic advisor. But I also don't think a restriction has to harm policy.
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Disagree
1
Bio/Vote History
Not confident, but if Trump's MD should be licensed due to his inability to judge quality.....
Einav
Liran Einav
Stanford
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Finkelstein
Amy Finkelstein
MIT Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
What matters is who POTUS listens to not where they went to school
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Strongly Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
of course, i agree.....but this is a bit like asking farmers if farmers are important.......best for others to judge.
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Hart
Oliver Hart
Harvard
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
I think it would probably improve decisions. That said, I don't really approve of blanket restrictions.
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
Disagree
10
Bio/Vote History
Hoynes
Hilary Hoynes
Berkeley
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
Strongly Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Meant Strongly Agree, misread direction of question: “Let POTUS choose who he wants and face public scrutiny. & there are incompetent PhDs”
Kaplan
Steven Kaplan
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
10
Bio/Vote History
Will not have much of an effect either way. Policymakers will listen to economists, then make decisions based on economics and politics.
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
more training helps, but lots of bad advice from people with credentials, so restricting the supply of people is not wise.
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Ricardo didn't have a PhD in Economics.
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford
Disagree
3
Bio/Vote History
Meant to Agree, misread direction of question: “Rather than a degree, a better set of criteria might be competence, judgment, integrity…”
Maskin
Eric Maskin
Harvard
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
I don't think government economic officials need to have a graduate degree--but it wouldn't hurt.
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Seems like a reasonable part of a job description.
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Samuelson
Larry Samuelson
Yale
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Meant Disagree, misread direction of question: “Econ PhD isn’t only desirable attribute, but helps if sr econ policy maker to has training.”
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
If i understand the wording, the strong inequality asserted is surely false. Not at all clear that "would increase" is true, however.
Shapiro
Carl Shapiro
Berkeley Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Shimer
Robert Shimer
University of Chicago
Disagree
5
Bio/Vote History
Although occupational licensing is bad policy, it can reduce the likelihood of bad outcomes. Here it constrains a third party, the executive
Stock
James Stock
Harvard
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
There are good advisors with and without graduate degrees (and bad, too). Excluding one category needlessly restricts choice.