US

Debt Ceiling

Because all federal spending and taxes must be approved by both houses of Congress and the executive branch, a separate debt ceiling that has to be increased periodically creates unneeded uncertainty and can potentially lead to worse fiscal outcomes.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
The question contains its own answer.
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Currie
Janet Currie
Princeton
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
It does indeed provide some brake on long-term spending, but there has to be a better way.
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
This is a second chance to gridlock. A budget passed by Congress already authorizes the necessary funding.
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Goldin
Claudia Goldin
Harvard
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
OBVIOUSly
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
This is a question about the behavior of members of Congress. I don't see how an economist could have any expertise on this.
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
In the past, it was not acceptable for legislators to create the disruption from blocking a debt increase. Even RR disapproved.
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Deciding whether or not to pay the debts incurred to fund the previously approved tax and spending is nuts.
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
It sure looks like it's been adding uncertainty lately (e.g. 2011). But it could conceivably be a force for good.
-see background information here
-see background information here
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Might not have given the same answer two years ago, but at this point, seems hard to disagree.
Maskin
Eric Maskin
Harvard
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Obstfeld
Maurice Obstfeld
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Just read the paper.
Shin
Hyun Song Shin
Princeton
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Stokey
Nancy Stokey
University of Chicago
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
The debt ceiling is a dumb idea with no benefits and potentially catestrophic costs if ever used.
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Zingales
Luigi Zingales
Chicago Booth
Disagree
5
Bio/Vote History
It can also lead to potential better outcomes