US

Congestion Pricing

In general, using more congestion charges in crowded transportation networks — such as higher tolls during peak travel times in cities, and peak fees for airplane takeoff and landing slots — and using the proceeds to lower other taxes would make citizens on average better off.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
See "The High Cost of Free Parking" by Donald Shoup
-see background information here
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
In general, the theory for pricing of congestion externalities would be analogous to pricing other externalities.
Currie
Janet Currie
Princeton
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Congestion creates many externalities, including the health costs of pollution.
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Not all citizens ate better off. Huge geographic disparities.
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Pricing at marginal value has benefits. A simple version of this is known as the first welfare theorem. The proposal goes toward this.
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Goldin
Claudia Goldin
Harvard
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Prices allocate goods more efficiently to consumers.
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
but be careful about things with large compliance costs as a share of revenue. Waiting 15 mins to pay 20 cent toll is very dumb
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Congestion is a pure waste of resources, so eliminating it leaves lots of scope for improving standards of living
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Empirical evidence supports it. And theoretically it also makes sense.
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Yes, so long as congestion taxes are based on the TRUE social costs of congestion and really reduce other taxes. Let prices allocate demand
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Lazear
Edward Lazear
Stanford
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
The failure to price things like time results in overuse. Pricing has already proven to be effective in applicable situations, revenue aside
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Obstfeld
Maurice Obstfeld
Berkeley
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
There is a strong efficiency case but there still could be distributional consequences for some.
Rouse
Cecilia Rouse
Princeton
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Potentially but it would depend on the magnitude of the disutility associated with congestion for those with lower elasticities of demand.
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Shin
Hyun Song Shin
Princeton
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Stock
James Stock
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Stokey
Nancy Stokey
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
The only hard part is using the revenue in a reasonable way.
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Of course the use of the tax revenue is key. Question: why do no GOP candidates favor such policies? Answer: more anti tax than pro market
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Congestion fees can serve well to match private costs with social costs, as long as they are implemented with minimal transaction costs.
Zingales
Luigi Zingales
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History