US

Savings Behavior

An effective way to increase savings rates of employees whose firms have defined contribution plans is to combine automatic enrollment in those plans and periodic automatic increases in their contributions (with the ability to opt out of either).

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT
Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
No question that this is effective. Whether it's Pareto improving is open to debate.
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Of course, as stated, if the SOLE goal were increasing saving, then even the opt-outs are contrary to the goal.
Currie
Janet Currie
Princeton
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Duffie
Darrell Duffie
Stanford
Strongly Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
The effort to opt out raises participation. Is that good? Thats a separate issue.
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Goldin
Claudia Goldin
Harvard
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
for lots of ppl, the evidence backs this one up well
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Strong evidence that true inside firm savings plan. Less clear abt overall savings. Danish evidence is impt
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
An age-contingent default might be even better.
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
The research is quite unambiguous on this point. I have not seen any contrary findings (although savvy savers are unaffected by defaults).
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
This might be effective in the short run but I have doubts about the long run
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Evidence on defaults seems pretty overwhelming. Not as familiar with the evidence on automatic increases, except Thaler & Benarzi (2004).
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Maskin
Eric Maskin
Harvard
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Obstfeld
Maurice Obstfeld
Berkeley
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Shin
Hyun Song Shin
Princeton
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Stokey
Nancy Stokey
University of Chicago
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
See Thaler and Sunstein's "Nudge."
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Finally a question which I am qualified to answer.
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
There is strong evidence that such "nudges" are effective in raising savings. The welfare consequences are less certain.
Zingales
Luigi Zingales
Chicago Booth Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History