Privatization in Central and Eastern Europe

On the whole, the shift from state to private ownership of many industrial assets in central and eastern European countries after communism has increased productivity in those countries.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Aghion
Philippe Aghion
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Allen
Franklin Allen
Imperial College London
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
For many but not all industries, privatization increases efficiency. I think this is true in many central and eastern European countries.
Antras
Pol Antras
Harvard
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Baldwin
Richard Baldwin
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Besley
Timothy J. Besley
LSE Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Blanchard
Olivier Blanchard
Peterson Institute
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
This is a no brainer.
Bloom
Nicholas Bloom
Stanford
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Blundell
Richard William Blundell
University College London
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
The majority of privatisations have been carried out effectively with proper auctions and subsequent price regulation.
Bénassy-Quéré
Agnès Bénassy-Quéré
Paris School of Economics
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Only after several years of depression.
Carletti
Elena Carletti
Bocconi
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Danthine
Jean-Pierre Danthine
Paris School of Economics
Strongly Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
De Grauwe
Paul De Grauwe
LSE
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Eeckhout
Jan Eeckhout
UPF Barcelona
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Fehr
Ernst Fehr
Universität Zurich
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Freixas
Xavier Freixas
Barcelona GSE
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
As a non-expert I cannot answer that is related to oligarchies, corruption and the end of the cold war.
Fuchs-Schündeln
Nicola Fuchs-Schündeln
Goethe-Universität Frankfurt
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Galí
Jordi Galí
Barcelona GSE
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Garicano
Luis Garicano
LSE
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Giavazzi
Francesco Giavazzi
Bocconi
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Griffith
Rachel Griffith
University of Manchester
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Guerrieri
Veronica Guerrieri
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Guiso
Luigi Guiso
Einaudi Institute for Economics and Finance
Strongly Agree
1
Bio/Vote History
Hellwig
Martin Hellwig
Max Planck Institute for Research on Collective Goods Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Honohan
Patrick Honohan
Trinity College Dublin
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
The answer would be less obvious if applied only to Western Europe
Kleven
Henrik Kleven
Princeton
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Krahnen
Jan Pieter Krahnen
Goethe University Frankfurt
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
While productivity has increased almost surely, production may actually have dropped significantly, as industry was largely dismantled.
Krusell
Per Krusell
Stockholm University
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
I have no knowledge in this area.
Kőszegi
Botond Kőszegi
Central European University
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
La Ferrara
Eliana La Ferrara
Harvard Kennedy
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Leuz
Christian Leuz
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
During transition in those economies, we also saw productivity gains for state-owned firms but gains for privatized firms were much larger.
-see background information here
Meghir
Costas Meghir
Yale
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Neary
Peter Neary
Oxford
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Productivity has increased, though in Russia and other countries the distributional consequences have been regressive
O'Rourke
Kevin O'Rourke
Oxford
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Pagano
Marco Pagano
Università di Napoli Federico II
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
This is not only in line with what economic theory predicts, but also consistent with much evidence.
-see background information here
-see background information here
Pastor
Lubos Pastor
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Persson
Torsten Persson
Stockholm University
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Even in East Germany only a few firms were viable at world-market prices at the end of communism (Akerlof et al, BPEA, 1990)
Pissarides
Christopher Pissarides
London School of Economics and Political Science
Strongly Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
governments are not good at running businesses, private owners know better how to increase productivity
Portes
Richard Portes
London Business School
Strongly Agree
10
Bio/Vote History
Prendergast
Canice Prendergast
Chicago Booth
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Reichlin
Lucrezia Reichlin
London Business School
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Repullo
Rafael Repullo
CEMFI
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Rey
Hélène Rey
London Business School
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Schoar
Antoinette Schoar
MIT
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Van Reenen
John Van Reenen
LSE
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Vickers
John Vickers
Oxford
Strongly Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Gains have come from pro-market reforms more generally, but privatization was a pre-condition.
Voth
Hans-Joachim Voth
University of Zurich
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
Weder di Mauro
Beatrice Weder di Mauro
The Graduate Institute, Geneva
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Whelan
Karl Whelan
University College Dublin
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Agree but moving from state-sponsored monopolies to badly-regulated private sector monopolies does not do much for the average consumer.
Wyplosz
Charles Wyplosz
The Graduate Institute Geneva
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
With rare exceptions, firms were highly inefficient beforehand. In some countries, private firms remain uncompetitive because of corruption.
Zilibotti
Fabrizio Zilibotti
Yale University
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History