| Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Comment | Bio/Vote History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daron Acemoglu
|
MIT | Agree | 5 |
Unshared gains from growth, esp when resulting in part from the political power of the rich, destroy trust in democratic institutions. |
Bio/Vote History |
Alberto Alesina
|
Harvard | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Joseph Altonji
|
Yale | Strongly Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alan Auerbach
|
Berkeley | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Autor
|
MIT | Agree | 8 |
Autor, Dorn, Hanson, Majlesi "Importing Political Polarization" document this for the China Shock. Point applies to inequality generally. |
Bio/Vote History |
Katherine Baicker
|
Chicago | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Abhijit Banerjee
|
MIT | Strongly Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Marianne Bertrand
|
Chicago | Strongly Agree | 9 | Bio/Vote History | |
Markus Brunnermeier
|
Princeton | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Raj Chetty
|
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Judith Chevalier
|
Yale | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Cutler
|
Harvard | Strongly Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Angus Deaton
|
Princeton | Strongly Agree | 10 | Bio/Vote History | |
Darrell Duffie
|
Stanford | Strongly Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Aaron Edlin
|
Berkeley | Uncertain | 7 |
A bigger problem might be that incomes haven’t increased meaningfully for the poor nor the middle class |
Bio/Vote History |
Barry Eichengreen
|
Berkeley | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Liran Einav
|
Stanford | Agree | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Ray Fair
|
Yale | No Opinion |
This question and the other two do not rely on my expertise as an economist. They require value judgments or political science expertise. |
Bio/Vote History | |
Amy Finkelstein
|
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Austan Goolsbee
|
Chicago | Strongly Agree | 10 |
Look out the *$%# window. |
Bio/Vote History |
Michael Greenstone
|
Chicago | Strongly Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
|
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 2 |
We don't understand the rise of populism as a general matter |
Bio/Vote History |
Oliver Hart
|
Harvard | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Bengt Holmström
|
MIT | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Caroline Hoxby
|
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Hilary Hoynes
|
Berkeley | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Kenneth Judd
|
Stanford | Agree | 9 |
Political power often comes with wealth. The ideal is "one person, one vote". "One dollar, one vote" is not democracy. |
Bio/Vote History |
Steven Kaplan
|
Chicago | Disagree | 5 |
Technological change is the driving force. It has disrupted many developed economies including those with less inequality. |
Bio/Vote History |
Anil Kashyap
|
Chicago | Agree | 1 |
inequality is an endogenous response to other factor and it is the underlying forces that are creating stress |
Bio/Vote History |
Pete Klenow
|
Stanford | Agree | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Jonathan Levin
|
Stanford | Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Eric Maskin
|
Harvard | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
|
|
Yale | Strongly Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Maurice Obstfeld
|
Berkeley | Strongly Agree | 7 |
No the only thing but very important -- esp. on a broad definition of "inequality." |
Bio/Vote History |
Emmanuel Saez
|
Berkeley | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Larry Samuelson
|
Yale | Agree | 8 |
Inequality coupled with a lack of mobility is especially noxious. |
Bio/Vote History |
José Scheinkman
|
Columbia University | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
|
|
MIT | Strongly Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Carl Shapiro
|
Berkeley | Strongly Agree | 10 | Bio/Vote History | |
Robert Shimer
|
Chicago | Uncertain | 1 |
Alternative explanation is poor performance of the bottom of the earnings distribution |
Bio/Vote History |
James Stock
|
Harvard | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Richard Thaler
|
Chicago | Strongly Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Christopher Udry
|
Northwestern | Strongly Agree | 8 |
Not just inequality, but it is a major part of the story. |
Bio/Vote History |
| Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Comment | Bio/Vote History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daron Acemoglu
|
MIT | Uncertain | 5 |
A better social safety net would help. What is needed is not just fiscal redistribution but good jobs (high-wage employment opportunities) -see background information here |
Bio/Vote History |
Alberto Alesina
|
Harvard | Uncertain | 8 |
i am not sire what "populism" means we should stop us g this very vague word |
Bio/Vote History |
Joseph Altonji
|
Yale | Uncertain | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alan Auerbach
|
Berkeley | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Autor
|
MIT | Uncertain | 5 |
Genie is out of the bottle. Populism rising even in social welfare states. |
Bio/Vote History |
Katherine Baicker
|
Chicago | Uncertain | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Abhijit Banerjee
|
MIT | Strongly Agree | 7 |
They need to be designed with a sensitivity to what the pain points are, not what we assume they must be. |
Bio/Vote History |
Marianne Bertrand
|
Chicago | Strongly Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Markus Brunnermeier
|
Princeton | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Raj Chetty
|
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Judith Chevalier
|
Yale | Agree | 2 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Cutler
|
Harvard | Uncertain | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Angus Deaton
|
Princeton | Disagree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Darrell Duffie
|
Stanford | Strongly Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Aaron Edlin
|
Berkeley | Uncertain | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Barry Eichengreen
|
Berkeley | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Liran Einav
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Ray Fair
|
Yale | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Amy Finkelstein
|
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Austan Goolsbee
|
Chicago | Agree | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Michael Greenstone
|
Chicago | Agree | 2 |
These questions are pretty unfocused.....what definition of populism is relevant here? |
Bio/Vote History |
|
|
Stanford | Disagree | 2 |
Resentment from a belief that other people are benefiting from government programs is part of populism |
Bio/Vote History |
Oliver Hart
|
Harvard | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Bengt Holmström
|
MIT | Agree | 6 |
Universal, affordablr healthcare a central example. |
Bio/Vote History |
Caroline Hoxby
|
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Hilary Hoynes
|
Berkeley | Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Kenneth Judd
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 7 |
Trump's "populist" policy included a reduction in corporate taxation, which will increase inequality. Populists don't seem to care. |
Bio/Vote History |
Steven Kaplan
|
Chicago | Strongly Disagree | 10 |
Lower inequality in Germany, Italy and, particularly, France (relative to the U.S.) has not limited populism. |
Bio/Vote History |
Anil Kashyap
|
Chicago | Uncertain | 1 |
too vague to say much. which policies, what is "populism", are taxes a policy? |
Bio/Vote History |
Pete Klenow
|
Stanford | Agree | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Jonathan Levin
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 3 |
Hard to know how specific redistributive policies will affect political sentiments |
Bio/Vote History |
Eric Maskin
|
Harvard | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
|
|
Yale | Agree | 5 |
But the meaning of "populism" is unclear. I assume means right-wing authoritarian, but could be any-wing. |
Bio/Vote History |
Maurice Obstfeld
|
Berkeley | Uncertain | 5 |
Some may be necessary but redistribution far from sufficient and could be counter-productive if taken too far or done wrong. |
Bio/Vote History |
Emmanuel Saez
|
Berkeley | Agree | 8 |
It's not necessarily $ expenditures that are needed but ways to rebalance power to boost pre-tax incomes of working class (min wage, unions) |
Bio/Vote History |
Larry Samuelson
|
Yale | Agree | 6 |
The sources of populism are complicated and not well understood, but addressing inequality should be part of an effective antidote. |
Bio/Vote History |
José Scheinkman
|
Columbia University | Uncertain | 6 |
Depends on specifics of policies |
Bio/Vote History |
|
|
MIT | Agree | 5 |
Hard to be too confident, since symbols often matter more than substance. |
Bio/Vote History |
Carl Shapiro
|
Berkeley | Strongly Agree | 10 | Bio/Vote History | |
Robert Shimer
|
Chicago | Uncertain | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
James Stock
|
Harvard | Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Richard Thaler
|
Chicago | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Christopher Udry
|
Northwestern | Strongly Agree | 5 |
The redistribution has to be designed well in order to achieve legitimacy. |
Bio/Vote History |
| Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Comment | Bio/Vote History |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daron Acemoglu
|
MIT | Agree | 5 |
More spending for a more generous and rational social safety net, job creation programs and education are vital. This needs more tax revenue |
Bio/Vote History |
Alberto Alesina
|
Harvard | Uncertain | 10 | Bio/Vote History | |
Joseph Altonji
|
Yale | Uncertain | 2 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alan Auerbach
|
Berkeley | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Autor
|
MIT | Agree | 5 |
I think these policies are worth enacting, even though they probably won't limit rise of populism. |
Bio/Vote History |
Katherine Baicker
|
Chicago | Uncertain | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Abhijit Banerjee
|
MIT | Uncertain | 7 |
Depends on the choice of policies. |
Bio/Vote History |
Marianne Bertrand
|
Chicago | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Markus Brunnermeier
|
Princeton | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Raj Chetty
|
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Judith Chevalier
|
Yale | Uncertain | 4 |
Governments should address inequality but I am not sure we have enough evidence of what "causes" populism. |
Bio/Vote History |
David Cutler
|
Harvard | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Angus Deaton
|
Princeton | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Darrell Duffie
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 1 |
Depends on the policy. Some "anti-populist" policies could impinge on free speech. Redistribution or education could be effective. |
Bio/Vote History |
Aaron Edlin
|
Berkeley | Uncertain | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Barry Eichengreen
|
Berkeley | Uncertain | 5 |
Depends on the particulars. See Barry Eichengreen, "The Populist Temptation: Economic Grievance & Political Reaction in the Modern Era" |
Bio/Vote History |
Liran Einav
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Ray Fair
|
Yale | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Amy Finkelstein
|
MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Austan Goolsbee
|
Chicago | Uncertain | Bio/Vote History | ||
Michael Greenstone
|
Chicago | Uncertain | 2 |
the intended definition of populism is too broad here. and, i don't think we know which policies affect populism. |
Bio/Vote History |
|
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 2 |
We don't know what those would be |
Bio/Vote History |
Oliver Hart
|
Harvard | Uncertain | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Bengt Holmström
|
MIT | Disagree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Caroline Hoxby
|
Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Hilary Hoynes
|
Berkeley | No Opinion |
You left off the choice of higher taxes - it doesnt have to come from more debt or less other spending. |
Bio/Vote History | |
Kenneth Judd
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 5 |
Government should focus on doing its job in providing education and safety. Populism is partly based on a view that government is not. |
Bio/Vote History |
Steven Kaplan
|
Chicago | Strongly Disagree | 3 |
Not sure what the right solution is, but more redistribution has not helped in France and Western Europe. |
Bio/Vote History |
Anil Kashyap
|
Chicago | No Opinion |
same general concerns as with the second question |
Bio/Vote History | |
Pete Klenow
|
Stanford | Agree | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Jonathan Levin
|
Stanford | Uncertain | 3 |
Would prefer to evaluate policies based on whether they broaden opportunity vs whether they achieve short term political objective |
Bio/Vote History |
Eric Maskin
|
Harvard | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
|
|
Yale | Disagree | 5 |
Aside from being bad policy, unclear would help. |
Bio/Vote History |
Maurice Obstfeld
|
Berkeley | Agree | 7 |
With low for long interest rates it's feasible -- and the rise of populism partly represents market failures that government could address. |
Bio/Vote History |
Emmanuel Saez
|
Berkeley | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Larry Samuelson
|
Yale | Agree | 4 |
I would prefer to see governments address inequality, but would need more policy details to have in informed judgement. |
Bio/Vote History |
José Scheinkman
|
Columbia University | Disagree | 6 |
The objective of economic policy should be increasing welfare and lower inequality but not to directly affect success of populism. |
Bio/Vote History |
|
|
MIT | Disagree | 7 |
This is an argument for politics over substance. |
Bio/Vote History |
Carl Shapiro
|
Berkeley | Strongly Agree | 10 | Bio/Vote History | |
Robert Shimer
|
Chicago | Uncertain |
It's unclear what those policies would be |
Bio/Vote History | |
James Stock
|
Harvard | Uncertain | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Richard Thaler
|
Chicago | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Christopher Udry
|
Northwestern | Agree | 2 | Bio/Vote History | |