Cecilia Rouse image

Cecilia Rouse

19 Votes

Princeton

  • Princeton, NJ

About

  • Theodore A. Wells ’29 Professor of Economics and Public Affairs
  • Member of the National Economic Council (1998–99)
  • Member of the President’s Council of Economic Advisers (2009–11)

Voting History

US

School Vouchers

Question A: If public school students had the option of taking the government money (local, state, federal) currently being spent on their own education and turning that money into vouchers that they could use towards covering the costs of any private school or public school of their choice (e.g. charter schools), most would be better off.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Uncertain
6
Question B: The main drawback to allowing all public school students to take the government money (local, state, federal) currently being spent on their own education and turning that money into vouchers that they could use towards covering the costs of any private school or public school of their choice (e.g. charter schools) would be that some students would not make an active choice and would be left with much worse peers and a weaker school.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Agree
5
US

Too Big to Fail

Question A: The average size of the 19 financial firms that just completed the Federal Reserve stress tests (i.e. the CCAR) would be substantially smaller if they did not have implicit government support.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Uncertain
5
Question B: The 19 financial firms that just completed the Federal Reserve stress tests (i.e. the CCAR) are big primarily because of economies of scale and scope, rather than because of implicit government support.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Uncertain
5
US

Gasoline Prices

Changes in U.S. gasoline prices over the past 10 years have predominantly been due to market factors rather than U.S. federal economic or energy policies.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Strongly Agree
8
Agree
8
US

Free Trade

Question A: Freer trade improves productive efficiency and offers consumers better choices, and in the long run these gains are much larger than any effects on employment.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
6
Agree
8
Comment: I agree with the statement as worded. There could be other, less desirable, impacts as well.
Question B: On average, citizens of the U.S. have been better off with the North American Free Trade Agreement than they would have been if the trade rules for the U.S., Canada and Mexico prior to NAFTA had remained in place.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
6
Agree
6
Comment: Such is the result of much of the empirical literature.
US

Bank Bailouts

Because the U.S. Treasury bailed out and backstopped banks (by injecting equity into them in late 2008, and later committing to provide public capital to any banks that failed the stress tests and could not raise private capital), the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without these measures.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
5
Agree
6
US

Health-Care Licensing

Loosening current licensing restrictions on the range of services that nurses, physician assistants, dental hygienists and pharmacists are permitted to perform would help patients on balance, because the additional safety risks would be small compared to the decreased costs in waiting time and fees.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Agree
6
US

Short Selling

Bans on the short selling of financial securities, such as stocks and government bonds, lead to prices that are further, on average, from their fundamental values.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Agree
5
US

Economic Stimulus

Question A: Because of the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, the U.S. unemployment rate was lower at the end of 2010 than it would have been without the stimulus bill.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Strongly Agree
10
Agree
7
Comment: With the caveat that there is no perfect experiment, the evidence suggests it boosted the economy.
Question B:

Taking into account all of the ARRA’s economic consequences — including the economic costs of raising taxes to pay for the spending, its effects on future spending, and any other likely future effects — the benefits of the stimulus will end up exceeding its costs.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
9
Uncertain
6
Comment: Not sure how to interpret "effects on future spending" but I'm persuaded the alternative (without the ARRA) would have put us on a bad path.
US

Rent Control

Local ordinances that limit rent increases for some rental housing units, such as in New York and San Francisco, have had a positive impact over the past three decades on the amount and quality of broadly affordable rental housing in cities that have used them.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Disagree
6
Disagree
6
Comment: While well intended, theoretically they also likely limit expansions in supply and improvements in quality.
US

Executive Pay

Question A:

The typical chief executive officer of a publicly traded corporation in the U.S. is paid more than his or her marginal contribution to the firm's value.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Uncertain
4
Comment: I do not know enough about the empirical evidence to weigh in.
Question B:

Mandating that U.S. publicly listed corporations must allow shareholders to cast a non-binding vote on executive compensation was a good idea.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Uncertain
5
Comment: Sounds like a good idea in theory, but I do not know enough about implementation to weigh in.
US

Inequality and Skills

One of the leading reasons for rising U.S. income inequality over the past three decades is that technological change has affected workers with some skill sets differently than others.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
10
Agree
7
Comment: Although there is some evidence to the contrary, the nature of occupational change and returns to schooling suggest it's important.
US

Gold Standard

Question A:

If the US replaced its discretionary monetary policy regime with a gold standard, defining a "dollar" as a specific number of ounces of gold, the price-stability and employment outcomes would be better for the average American.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Strongly Disagree
8
Question B: There are many factors besides US inflation risk that influence the current dollar price of gold.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Strongly Agree
9
US

Congestion Pricing

In general, using more congestion charges in crowded transportation networks — such as higher tolls during peak travel times in cities, and peak fees for airplane takeoff and landing slots — and using the proceeds to lower other taxes would make citizens on average better off.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Uncertain
5
Strongly Agree
8
Comment: Potentially but it would depend on the magnitude of the disutility associated with congestion for those with lower elasticities of demand.
US

Carbon Tax

A tax on the carbon content of fuels would be a less expensive way to reduce carbon-dioxide emissions than would a collection of policies such as “corporate average fuel economy” requirements for automobiles.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
6
Strongly Agree
8
Comment: I believe this to be the case in theory although in practice may be a more effective way to achieve environmental objectives.
US

Drug Use Policies

Question A: All else equal, making drugs illegal raises street prices for those drugs because suppliers require extra compensation for the risk of incarceration and other punishments.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Agree
8
Question B: The Netherlands restrictions on “soft drugs” combined with a moderate tax aimed at deterring their consumption would have lower social costs than continuing to prohibit use of those drugs as in the US. (Click here for a summary of the Netherlands restrictions.)
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Did Not Answer
Agree
5
US

Italy’s Debt

Question A:

Credible assumptions for inflation, GDP growth and primary budget deficits in Italy imply that either the Debt-to-GDP ratio in Italy would increase sharply if Italian interest rates on 10-year government debt remained at the November 30 level of around 7 percent or Italy would lose access to the bond market.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Agree
6
Question B:

Absent outside help to deal with runs, such as a pledge of fiscal support from Germany or an unlimited commitment by the ECB to buy bonds, there is no spending-and-tax plan Italy can announce that would be credible enough to hold its interest rates low enough to stabilize its Debt-to-GDP ratio.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Uncertain
5
US

Healthcare

There are no consequential distortions created by the tax preference that favors obtaining health insurance through employers.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Disagree
7
Strongly Disagree
8
Comment: It likely distorts both health care decisions and the composition of total compensation.
US

Buy American

Federal mandates that government purchases should be “buy American” unless there are exceptional circumstances, such as in the American Recovery and Reinvestment Act of 2009, have a significant positive impact on U.S. manufacturing employment.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Uncertain
4
Disagree
5
Comment: Given vagueness in the definition of whether a product is "American" I suspect this provision may be more symbolic than not.
US

Tax Reform

Question A: Eliminating tax deductions for non-investment personal interest expenses (e.g., on mortgages), with reductions in personal tax rates that are both budget neutral and keep the burden of taxes by income group the same, would lead to more efficient financing decisions by individuals.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
6
Agree
7
Comment: Better to level the playing field in terms of investments.
Question B: Reducing the deductibility of interest expenses for non-financial businesses to equalize the overall tax cost of debt and equity financing, while using the extra revenue to reduce personal and corporate tax rates in a budget neutral fashion that also keeps the burden of taxes the same, would lead to more efficient financing decisions by firms.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
5
Agree
7
US

Stock Prices

Question A: Unless they have inside information, very few investors, if any, can consistently make accurate predictions about whether the price of an individual stock will rise or fall on a given day.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
8
Strongly Agree
8
Comment: The informational requirements are too high given the many factors and random shocks that can occur on any given day.
Question B: Plausible expectations of future dividends, discounted using a plausible risk-adjusted interest rate, explain well the level of stock prices for recently listed internet businesses in 1999.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Disagree
7
Disagree
7
Comment: This is but one interpretation; a bubble would be another....
US

Exchange Rates

The Chinese government pursues policies that keep the renminbi's exchange rate vis à vis the dollar lower than it would be if the currency floated without those policies.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
No Opinion
Agree
6
Comment: I don't know enough about what China may or may not be doing to state an informed opinion.
US

Education

Public school students would receive a higher quality education if they all had the option of taking the government money (local, state, federal) currently being spent on their own education and turning that money into vouchers that they could use towards covering the costs of any private school or public school of their choice (e.g. charter schools).

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Disagree
10
Uncertain
6
US

Taxes

Question A: All else equal, permanently raising the federal marginal tax rate on ordinary income by 1 percentage point for those in the top (i.e., currently 35%) tax bracket would increase federal tax revenue over the next 10 years.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Agree
6
Agree
8
Question B:

The cumulative budget shortfalls in the US over the next 10 years can be reduced by half (or more) purely by increasing the federal marginal tax rate on ordinary income for those in the top tax bracket.

Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Uncertain
6
Disagree
7
US

Monetary Policy

All else equal, the Fed's new plan to increase the maturity of its Treasury holdings will boost expected real GDP growth for calendar year 2012 by at least one percentage point.
Vote Confidence Median Survey Vote Median Survey Confidence
Uncertain
5
Disagree
4