US

Executive Pay

Question A:

The typical chief executive officer of a publicly traded corporation in the U.S. is paid more than his or her marginal contribution to the firm's value.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Question B:

Mandating that U.S. publicly listed corporations must allow shareholders to cast a non-binding vote on executive compensation was a good idea.

Responses weighted by each expert's confidence

Question A Participant Responses

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
CEOs received substantial rents, partly because pay is set by negotiation and with weak oversight. But bad CEO can do huge damage to a firm.
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
I am fairly confident that the literature is not conclusive on this for the "typical" CEO.
Currie
Janet Currie
Princeton
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
Hard to test this.
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Big discrepancy between CEO compensation and long-term shareholder returns.
Goldin
Claudia Goldin
Harvard
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
There are reasons to believe CEO wages = marginal product & to think they are paid more, but I'm unaware of any credible empirical evidence
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Disagree
4
Bio/Vote History
Very hard to measure MP of CEO. Harder still to assess MP of alternatives to CEO. So CEO mkt not competitive in normal sense.
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
Uncertain
8
Bio/Vote History
This depends on how the CEO adds value--as a % increase on the firm's profit base or as an absolute amt. If the former, no is more likely.
-see background information here
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Disagree
3
Bio/Vote History
Commonly asserted but it is very hard to tell. The fact that CEO pay fell during the 2000s is not widely known.
-see background information here
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Lazear
Edward Lazear
Stanford
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
Obviously, there are abuses, but the exec. market is reasonably competitive. Some contribute far more to shareholder value than their pay.
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Obstfeld
Maurice Obstfeld
Berkeley
Uncertain
2
Bio/Vote History
Rouse
Cecilia Rouse
Princeton
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
I do not know enough about the empirical evidence to weigh in.
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
US CEO current pay much higher than in other countries and than in the past suggesting over-pricing
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
While trends in CEO pay may suggest this, I know of no hard evidence, particularly none that bears on the "typical" US corporation.
Shin
Hyun Song Shin
Princeton
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Stock
James Stock
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Stokey
Nancy Stokey
University of Chicago
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
2 Reasons: 1. Winner's curse. 2 asymetric payoffs (CEO wins when things go well and does not suffer when things go sour. Combo = overpay.
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Zingales
Luigi Zingales
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
If you had asked the question the other way (we know that they are paid their marginal valuation) I would have strongly diagreed.

Question B Participant Responses

Participant University Vote Confidence Bio/Vote History
Acemoglu
Daron Acemoglu
MIT
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Yes, but not sufficient given that disperse shareholders may not have sufficient incentives to monitor performance.
Alesina
Alberto Alesina
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Altonji
Joseph Altonji
Yale
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Auerbach
Alan Auerbach
Berkeley
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Autor
David Autor
MIT
Disagree
6
Bio/Vote History
I weakly disagree. I suspect that this requirement is ineffective -- so it silences some critics without solving any agency problems.
Baicker
Katherine Baicker
University of Chicago Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Bertrand
Marianne Bertrand
Chicago
Agree
7
Bio/Vote History
Chetty
Raj Chetty
Harvard
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Chevalier
Judith Chevalier
Yale
Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
I don't think this policy will do much though their have been a few high profile institution-led No votes on these resolutions.
Currie
Janet Currie
Princeton
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
Cutler
David Cutler
Harvard
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
I don't know if it affected pay, but shareholders should have the right to express some view on this.
Deaton
Angus Deaton
Princeton
Agree
2
Bio/Vote History
Edlin
Aaron Edlin
Berkeley Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Eichengreen
Barry Eichengreen
Berkeley
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Fair
Ray Fair
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Seems to have had little effect so far. Gives stockholders potentially more power at probably low costs of administering it.
Goldberg
Pinelopi Goldberg
Yale
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
"Non-binding" means the mandate has no teeth
Goldin
Claudia Goldin
Harvard
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Goolsbee
Austan Goolsbee
Chicago Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Greenstone
Michael Greenstone
University of Chicago
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Difficult to see harm but there is plenty of evidence that more sunshine can improve firm performance. See below link for an example
-see background information here
Hall
Robert Hall
Stanford
Uncertain
3
Bio/Vote History
Ex ante, giving management a significant stake in a company has its logic, so cutting the payoff ex post may be a problem.
Holmström
Bengt Holmström
MIT
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Direct shareholder intervention has benefits as well as costs. Costs much underappreciated in current climate. Still, some oversight needed.
Hoxby
Caroline Hoxby
Stanford
Uncertain
10
Bio/Vote History
The vote is good for governance, but mandating it is not. If you don't like how executives are paid, sell the shares.
Judd
Kenneth Judd
Stanford
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Kashyap
Anil Kashyap
Chicago Booth
Uncertain
5
Bio/Vote History
We know that it does not seemed to have changed outcomes much so far. Does take up some resources, but the threat might wind up being ok.
Klenow
Pete Klenow
Stanford
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Lazear
Edward Lazear
Stanford
Disagree
8
Bio/Vote History
Mandates are not necessary. Potential shareholders do not have to own shares in companies whose corp gov is not to their liking.
Levin
Jonathan Levin
Stanford Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Nordhaus
William Nordhaus
Yale
Agree
5
Bio/Vote History
Obstfeld
Maurice Obstfeld
Berkeley
Agree
3
Bio/Vote History
Rouse
Cecilia Rouse
Princeton
No Opinion
Bio/Vote History
Sounds like a good idea in theory, but I do not know enough about implementation to weigh in.
Saez
Emmanuel Saez
Berkeley
Uncertain
4
Bio/Vote History
Unlikely to have a strong impact
Scheinkman
José Scheinkman
Columbia University
Agree
4
Bio/Vote History
Schmalensee
Richard Schmalensee
MIT
Disagree
7
Bio/Vote History
It is hard to see how a non-binding vote by generally uninformed shareholders is likely to have benefits exceeding its coss.
Shin
Hyun Song Shin
Princeton
Agree
8
Bio/Vote History
Stock
James Stock
Harvard Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Stokey
Nancy Stokey
University of Chicago
Uncertain
1
Bio/Vote History
Thaler
Richard Thaler
Chicago Booth
Agree
6
Bio/Vote History
More transparency is good. Better would be to require disclosure of the process consultants use to set pay. Benchmarking is anit market.
Udry
Christopher Udry
Northwestern Did Not Answer Bio/Vote History
Zingales
Luigi Zingales
Chicago Booth
Strongly Agree
9
Bio/Vote History
The cost is minimal, while the benefit of transparency and societal pressure against excesses high.